Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if that is what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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